Fiorentina x Atalanta Betting tips for March 30 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Fiorentina x Atalanta, Sunday, 30/3/2025

📅 30/3/2025 13:00

Fiorentina 3.75

X 3.54

Atalanta 1.95

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Fiorentina x Atalanta:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Fiorentina x Atalanta

Important information for your tip for Fiorentina x Atalanta: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atalanta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $88.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Fiorentina scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Atalanta scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Atalanta, Fiorentina scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Atalanta matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Fiorentina is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Fiorentina has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Atalanta playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Fiorentina x Atalanta?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fiorentina x Atalanta, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Fiorentina x Atalanta for the Italy Serie A – 30 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fiorentina x Atalanta right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1291320 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Fiorentina x Atalanta

Is it a good idea to bet on Fiorentina?

🔵 Fiorentina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $770.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$50.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $584.20
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$185.80.

Should you bet on Atalanta?

🔴 Atalanta: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 490 times – profiting $465.50;
• And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$44.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fiorentina x Atalanta

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Fiorentina
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fiorentina x Atalanta

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Fiorentina and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Fiorentina.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fiorentina x Atalanta

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.