Fiorentina x Cagliari Betting tips for December 8 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Fiorentina x Cagliari, Sunday, 8/12/2024

📅 8/12/2024 11:30

Fiorentina 1.50

X 4.50

Cagliari 5.85

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Fiorentina x Cagliari:

🔮 Fiorentina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fiorentina, you can win up to $750.00!

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The main points for the tip for Fiorentina x Cagliari: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fiorentina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $355.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Fiorentina scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Cagliari, Fiorentina scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Fiorentina matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Fiorentina conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Cagliari conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Fiorentina has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Cagliari playing at home.

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Analysis from Fiorentina x Cagliari for the Italy Serie A – 8 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fiorentina and Cagliari.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1233707 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Fiorentina x Cagliari

Is it a good idea to bet on Fiorentina?

🔵 Fiorentina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 72.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 730 times – having a profit of $365.00;
• And would lose other 270 times – losing -$270.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$95.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$190.00.

Should you bet on Cagliari?

🔴 Cagliari: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $436.50;
• And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$473.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fiorentina x Cagliari

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Fiorentina
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fiorentina x Cagliari

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Fiorentina, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Fiorentina.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Cagliari.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fiorentina x Cagliari

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.