Fiorentina x Cremonese Betting tips for January 4 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 4/1/2026 14:00 |
 Fiorentina1.78 |
X 3.55 |
Cremonese  4.52 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Fiorentina x Cremonese:
🔮 Fiorentina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fiorentina, you can win up to $890.00!
Important information for your tip for Fiorentina x Cremonese:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fiorentina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-155.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cremonese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $700.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Fiorentina scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Fiorentina matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Fiorentina conceded at least 1 goal(s).
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fiorentina x Cremonese?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fiorentina x Cremonese, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Fiorentina x Cremonese for the Italy Serie A – 4 of January
🏟️ Fiorentina X Cremonese – Italy Serie A
📅 4 of January, 2026 – 14:00
🔵 Fiorentina – Winning probability: 60.05% | Fair line: 1.67
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.35% | Fair line: 4.47
🔴 Cremonese – Winning probability: 17.60% | Fair line: 5.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Fiorentina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
Tips for the Match Odds market for Fiorentina x Cremonese
When the best bet on Fiorentina x Cremonese is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1457948 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Should you bet on Fiorentina?
🔵 Fiorentina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $468.00
- And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$68.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $561.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$219.00.
Is betting on Cremonese worth it?
🔴 Cremonese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $633.60;
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$186.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Fiorentina x Cremonese
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Fiorentina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fiorentina x Cremonese
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Fiorentina, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Fiorentina.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fiorentina x Cremonese
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
