Fiorentina x Monza Betting tips for September 1 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Fiorentina x Monza, Sunday, 1/9/2024

📅 1/9/2024 13:30

Fiorentina 1.52

X 4.20

Monza 6.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Fiorentina x Monza:

🔮 Fiorentina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fiorentina, you can win up to $760.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Fiorentina x Monza: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fiorentina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-218.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Monza, Fiorentina scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Fiorentina conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Monza. 👉 Fiorentina has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Monza playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fiorentina x Monza?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Fiorentina x Monza for the Italy Serie A – 1 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fiorentina and Monza.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1171332 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fiorentina x Monza

Is it worth betting on Fiorentina?

🔵 Fiorentina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 66.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 660 times – having a profit of $343.20;
• And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$3.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $736.00
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$34.00.

Is it worth betting on Monza?

🔴 Monza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $550.00;
• And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$340.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fiorentina x Monza

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Fiorentina
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fiorentina x Monza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Fiorentina, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Fiorentina.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Fiorentina.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fiorentina x Monza

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.