Fiorentina x Napoli Betting tips for January 4 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Fiorentina x Napoli, Saturday, 4/1/2025

📅 4/1/2025 17:00

Fiorentina 2.88

X 3.14

Napoli 2.45

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Fiorentina x Napoli:

🔮 Fiorentina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fiorentina, you can win up to $1440.00!

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The main points for the tip for Fiorentina x Napoli: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fiorentina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-80.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Napoli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $12.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Fiorentina scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Napoli scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Napoli matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Napoli conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Fiorentina x Napoli?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fiorentina x Napoli, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Fiorentina x Napoli for the Italy Serie A – 4 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fiorentina x Napoli right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1241796 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fiorentina x Napoli

Is it worth betting on Fiorentina?

🔵 Fiorentina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $958.80
• And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$468.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $428.00;
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$372.00.

Is betting on Napoli worth it?

🔴 Napoli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $420.50;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$289.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fiorentina x Napoli

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Fiorentina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fiorentina x Napoli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Fiorentina and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Fiorentina. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fiorentina x Napoli

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.