Genoa x Inter Milan Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Genoa x Inter Milan, Sunday, 14/12/2025

📅 14/12/2025 17:00

Genoa 6.00

X 3.90

Inter Milan 1.55

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Genoa x Inter Milan:

🔮 Inter Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Inter Milan, you can win up to $775.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Genoa x Inter Milan:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Genoa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-57.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Inter Milan scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Genoa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Genoa has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Inter Milan playing at home.

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Analysis from Genoa x Inter Milan for the Italy Serie A – 14 of December

When the best bet on Genoa x Inter Milan is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452043 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Latest news about Genoa x Inter Milan

Genoa: Genoa has recently been showing a form marked by setbacks and a rare league victory: the club suffered a 4-0 defeat to Bergamo in the Coppa Italia but managed a 2-1 win over Verona – their first Serie A home victory at Marassi this season – before losing 2-1 to Udinese on December 8, 2025; they currently sit fourth from the bottom in the Serie A table with 11 points.

Inter Milan: Inter Milan is dealing with a series of injuries after a controversial draw in the Champions League against Liverpool, as both defender Francesco Acerbi and midfielder Hakan Calhanoglu suffered injuries that will keep them out of the next Serie A match against Genoa, while the ankle issue of right-back Denzel Dumfries is also expected to sideline him from the Saudi Super Cup clash; coach Cristian Chivu is therefore seeking midfield alternatives like Piotr Zieliński or Nicolo Barella, and a defensive restructuring that may include Boubacar Bisseck replacing Acerbi, with Inter currently in fourth place in the league with 12 points and determined to break their recent streak in head-to-head matches against the leagues big traditional clubs and win their first title of the season.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Genoa x Inter Milan

Is betting on Genoa worth it?

🔵 Genoa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 100 times – profiting $500.00;
• And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$400.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $464.00;
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$376.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Inter Milan?

🔴 Inter Milan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 740 times – profiting $407.00;
• And would lose other 260 times – losing -$260.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$147.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Genoa x Inter Milan

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Genoa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Genoa x Inter Milan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Genoa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Genoa.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Genoa x Inter Milan

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.