Genoa x Monza Betting tips for January 27 in Italy Serie A
๐
27/1/2025 19:45 |
![]() 2.12 |
X 3.12 |
Monza ![]() 3.60 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Genoa x Monza:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1560.00!
The main points for the tip for Genoa x Monza: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Genoa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0. |
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Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Genoa x Monza?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Genoa x Monza, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Genoa x Monza for the Italy Serie A โ 27 of January
๐๏ธ Genoa X Monza โ Italy Serie A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Genoa x Monza right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1251998 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1ร2 market for Genoa x Monza
Should you bet on Genoa?
๐ต Genoa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times โ this would give you a profit of $403.20
- And would lose other 640 times โ having a loss of -$640.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$236.80.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 410 times โ profiting $869.20;
- And would have lost other 590 times โ with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$279.20.
Should you bet on Monza?
๐ด Monza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 230 times โ having a profit of $598.00;
- And would lose other 770 times โ losing -$770.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$172.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Genoa x Monza
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1ร2: -0.5 Genoa
โฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1ร2 market for Genoa x Monza
โ Handicap 1ร2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Genoa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Genoa. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1ร2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Genoa x Monza
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: โ 2.25 goals.