Customize Consent Preferences

We use cookies to help you navigate efficiently and perform certain functions. You will find detailed information about all cookies under each consent category below.

The cookies that are categorized as "Necessary" are stored on your browser as they are essential for enabling the basic functionalities of the site. ... 

Always Active

Necessary cookies are required to enable the basic features of this site, such as providing secure log-in or adjusting your consent preferences. These cookies do not store any personally identifiable data.

No cookies to display.

Functional cookies help perform certain functionalities like sharing the content of the website on social media platforms, collecting feedback, and other third-party features.

No cookies to display.

Analytical cookies are used to understand how visitors interact with the website. These cookies help provide information on metrics such as the number of visitors, bounce rate, traffic source, etc.

No cookies to display.

Performance cookies are used to understand and analyze the key performance indexes of the website which helps in delivering a better user experience for the visitors.

No cookies to display.

Advertisement cookies are used to provide visitors with customized advertisements based on the pages you visited previously and to analyze the effectiveness of the ad campaigns.

No cookies to display.

Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home ยป Predictions ยป Italy Serie A ยป Genoa x Monza Betting tips for January 27 in Italy Serie A
Monday, 27 January 2025, 19h45 Italy Serie A
Genoa Genoa
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 41% 1 X 2
Monza Monza
ODD: @3.12 Don't miss this prediction!

Genoa x Monza Betting tips for January 27 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Genoa x Monza, Monday, 27/1/2025
๐Ÿ“… 27/1/2025
19:45
Genoa Genoa
2.12
X
3.12
Monza Monza
3.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Genoa x Monza:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1560.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Genoa x Monza:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Genoa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Monza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Monza scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Monza matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Monza conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Monza as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Genoa x Monza?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Genoa x Monza, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Genoa x Monza for the Italy Serie A โ€“ 27 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Genoa X Monza โ€“ Italy Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 27 of January, 2025 โ€“ 19:45
๐Ÿ”ต Genoa โ€“ Winning probability: 36.15% | Fair line: 2.77
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 41.09% | Fair line: 2.43
๐Ÿ”ด Monza โ€“ Winning probability: 22.76% | Fair line: 4.39
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -0.5 Genoa
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Genoa x Monza right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1251998 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1ร—2 market for Genoa x Monza

Should you bet on Genoa?

๐Ÿ”ต Genoa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times โ€“ this would give you a profit of $403.20
  • And would lose other 640 times โ€“ having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$236.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 410 times โ€“ profiting $869.20;
  • And would have lost other 590 times โ€“ with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$279.20.

Should you bet on Monza?

๐Ÿ”ด Monza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times โ€“ having a profit of $598.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times โ€“ losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$172.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Genoa x Monza

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -0.5 Genoa
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for Genoa x Monza

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Genoa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Genoa. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1ร—2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Genoa x Monza

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: โ€“ 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteรบdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters