Inter Milan x Bologna Betting tips for January 4 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 4/1/2026 19:45 |
 Inter Milan1.46 |
X 4.40 |
Bologna  6.50 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Inter Milan x Bologna:
🔮 Inter Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Inter Milan, you can win up to $730.00!
The main points for the tip for Inter Milan x Bologna:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-98.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $240.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Bologna, Inter Milan scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Inter Milan x Bologna, with Inter Milan as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Bologna conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Inter Milan conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Bologna.
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Analysis from Inter Milan x Bologna for the Italy Serie A – 4 of January
🏟️ Inter Milan X Bologna – Italy Serie A
📅 4 of January, 2026 – 19:45
🔵 Inter Milan – Winning probability: 84.90% | Fair line: 1.18
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.44% | Fair line: 10.59
🔴 Bologna – Winning probability: 5.65% | Fair line: 17.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Inter Milan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
Tips for the Match Odds market for Inter Milan x Bologna
When the best bet on Inter Milan x Bologna is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1457948 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Is betting on Inter Milan worth it?
🔵 Inter Milan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 84.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 850 times – profiting $391.00;
- And would lose other 150 times – losing -$150.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$241.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 90 times – profiting $306.00;
- And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$604.00.
Is it worth betting on Bologna?
🔴 Bologna: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $330.00;
- And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$610.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Inter Milan x Bologna
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Inter Milan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Inter Milan x Bologna
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Inter Milan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Inter Milan.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Inter Milan x Bologna
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
