Inter Milan x Como Betting tips for December 23 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Inter Milan x Como, Monday, 23/12/2024

📅 23/12/2024 19:45

Inter Milan 1.25

X 6.00

Como 11.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Inter Milan x Como:

🔮 Inter Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Inter Milan, you can win up to $625.00!

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Important information for your tip for Inter Milan x Como: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $152.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Como in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Inter Milan scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Como conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Inter Milan is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Inter Milan x Como for the Italy Serie A – 23 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Inter Milan x Como right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1239281 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Inter Milan x Como

Is it worth betting on Inter Milan?

🔵 Inter Milan: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 95.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 960 times – having a profit of $240.00;
• And would lose other 40 times – losing -$40.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$200.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 40 times – profiting $200.00;
• And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$760.00.

Should you bet on Como?

🔴 Como: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 11.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $100.00
• And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$890.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Inter Milan x Como

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Inter Milan
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Inter Milan x Como

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.25 Inter Milan and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Inter Milan.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Inter Milan.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Inter Milan x Como

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.