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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Inter Milan x Parma Betting tips for December 6 in Italy Serie A
Friday, 06 December 2024, 17h30 Italy Serie A
Inter Milan Inter Milan
PREDICTION Inter Milan wins Probability 97% 1 X 2
Parma Parma
ODD: @1.18 Don't miss this prediction!

Inter Milan x Parma Betting tips for December 6 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Inter Milan x Parma, Friday, 6/12/2024
📅 6/12/2024
17:30
Inter Milan Inter Milan
1.18
X
7.10
Parma Parma
12.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Inter Milan x Parma:

🔮 Inter Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Inter Milan, you can win up to $590.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Inter Milan x Parma:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $24.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Inter Milan scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Parma scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Parma, Inter Milan scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Inter Milan matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Inter Milan x Parma, with Inter Milan as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Parma conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Inter Milan conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Parma.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Parma has not lost any of them.
👉 Inter Milan has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Parma playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Inter Milan x Parma?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Inter Milan x Parma, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Inter Milan x Parma for the Italy Serie A – 6 of December

🏟️ Inter Milan X Parma – Italy Serie A
📅 6 of December, 2024 – 17:30
🔵 Inter Milan – Winning probability: 97.36% | Fair line: 1.03
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.74% | Fair line: 57.53
🔴 Parma – Winning probability: 0.90% | Fair line: 111.24
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Inter Milan
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Inter Milan x Parma is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1233006 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Inter Milan x Parma

Should you bet on Inter Milan?

🔵 Inter Milan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 97.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 970 times – having a profit of $174.60;
  • And would lose other 30 times – losing -$30.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$144.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $122.00
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$858.00.

Is betting on Parma worth it?

🔴 Parma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 12.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $110.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$880.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Inter Milan x Parma

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Inter Milan
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Inter Milan x Parma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.25 Inter Milan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.0 Inter Milan.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.0 Inter Milan.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Inter Milan x Parma

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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