Juventus x Cagliari Betting tips for October 6 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Juventus x Cagliari, Sunday, 6/10/2024

📅 6/10/2024 07:30

Juventus 1.40

X 4.57

Cagliari 7.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Juventus x Cagliari:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Juventus x Cagliari

Important information for your tip for Juventus x Cagliari: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Cagliari, Juventus scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Cagliari conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Juventus has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Cagliari.

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Analysis from Juventus x Cagliari for the Italy Serie A – 6 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Juventus x Cagliari right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1195226 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Juventus x Cagliari

Is it worth betting on Juventus?

🔵 Juventus: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 730 times – this would give you a profit of $292.00
• And would lose other 270 times – losing -$270.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$22.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – profiting $535.50;
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$314.50.

Is betting on Cagliari worth it?

🔴 Cagliari: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $810.00;
• And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$70.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Juventus x Cagliari

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Juventus
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Juventus x Cagliari

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Juventus and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Juventus.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Cagliari.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Juventus x Cagliari

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.