Juventus x Fiorentina Betting tips for December 29 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Juventus x Fiorentina, Sunday, 29/12/2024

📅 29/12/2024 17:00

Juventus 1.95

X 3.40

Fiorentina 3.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Juventus x Fiorentina:

🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for Juventus x Fiorentina: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Juventus in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $183.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fiorentina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-75.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Juventus scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Fiorentina, Juventus scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Fiorentina matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Juventus x Fiorentina, with Juventus as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Juventus has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Fiorentina.

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Analysis from Juventus x Fiorentina for the Italy Serie A – 29 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Juventus x Fiorentina right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1240320 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Juventus x Fiorentina

Is betting on Juventus worth it?

🔵 Juventus: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $446.50
• And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$83.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $816.00;
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$156.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Fiorentina?

🔴 Fiorentina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $551.00;
• And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$259.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Juventus x Fiorentina

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Juventus
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Juventus x Fiorentina

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Juventus and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Juventus.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Juventus x Fiorentina

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.