Juventus x Lazio Betting tips for February 8 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Juventus x Lazio, Sunday, 8/2/2026

📅 8/2/2026 19:45

Juventus 1.51

X 3.88

Lazio 6.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Juventus x Lazio:

🔮 Lazio wins the match
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Some important points for the tip for Juventus x Lazio:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Juventus in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $202.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-57.0.
👉 Juventus did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Juventus scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Lazio, Juventus scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Lazio matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Juventus is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Lazio has not lost any of them.
👉 Juventus has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Lazio.

🤖 What does ChatGPT think about our prediction for Juventus vs Lazio?

Lets analyze the match Juventus vs Lazio at Allianz Stadium, home of Juventus, which has been showing a very strong performance in recent games. In the last 5 home matches, Juventus scored 13 goals and conceded only 2, with 4 wins and no losses. Lazio, on the other hand, has more modest away stats: scored only 3 goals in the last 5 away games and conceded 2, with two wins and one loss.

The median odds indicate a clear favoritism for Juventus to win (1.52), with a draw (3.75) and Lazio to win (6.15) being much less likely according to the market.

Calculating the implied probabilities from the median odds gives us:

• Juventus Win: ~65.8%
• Draw: ~26.7%
• Lazio Win: ~16.3%

Adjusting to sum to 100%, the normalized probabilities are approximately:

• Juventus: 62%
• Draw: 25%
• Lazio: 13%

Looking at the statistical data — Juventus has a higher average of shots on target (16 vs 11 for Lazio), and their average goals per home game is high (3) compared to Lazios low away number (1). Ball possession slightly favors the visiting team but does not offset the offensive dominance of the home team.

Based on this, I estimate fair probabilities close to these normalized values, perhaps slightly increasing the draw due to the defensive capabilities of both teams.

News analysis 📰:
Juventus is on a roll after a recent big win in Serie A and has key players recovered or close to renewal, bringing stability to the squad; Lazio, however, is in a tough moment, having not won in five home matches before this round and suffering important absences due to injury or suspension — this weighs heavily against them in this tough away fixture.

Tactical analysis 📈:
In the league table, both teams seek important points — especially Juventus aiming for a Champions League spot — which increases their motivation to keep a positive streak playing at home in Allianz Stadium.

Therefore, I partially agree with the Bets Kenya model regarding Juventuss strong favoritism but disagree on the positive value of betting on the away win given their recent fragility away from home.
The expected value calculated by the model indicates value only in the away win (+30%), but statistical data and news point to high risk in this bet.
My suggestion is to bet on Juventus to win, as their robust offensive performance combined with the clear advantage of playing at home makes this a safer option even with lower odds (~1.48 final). The expected value here may be modest but more reliable considering the overall context.

⚽ Probable outcome:
Juventus Win (~62%) > Draw (~25%) > Lazio Win (~13%)

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Analysis from Juventus x Lazio for the Italy Serie A – 8 of February

Latest news on Juventus x Lazio

Juventus: Juventus continues its quest for a Champions League spot after a 4-1 Serie A victory over Parma, where defender Bremer scored twice and praised coach Massimiliano Spalletti for the offensive freedom given to the team. Midfielder McKennie and forward Vlahović are close to renewing their contracts for the next season; the club also secured a long-term renewal for Turkish winger Yusuf Yıldız, extending his contract until 2030, and confirmed his full recovery from a mild muscular issue, making him available on the bench for the upcoming Coppa Italia match against Atalanta. Juventus is also exploring “zero parameter” signings like Bernardo Silva, Senesi, and Celik, and maintains interest in a major midfield acquisition, such as Sandro Tonali, to strengthen a squad that has won six of its last eight league matches.

Lazio: Lazio ended a five-match winless streak at the Olimpico with a 3-2 victory over Genoa on January 30, reaching three points behind seventh-placed Atalanta, but still has only one win in its last seven Serie A games and remains without a home victory in five matches. Maurizio Sarri’s squad of 25 players for the next match against Juventus includes new signing Daniel Maldini, who is expected to start as number 9, while Pedro remains on the left wing and Noslin may be deployed on the left flank. Defender Francesco Romagnoli, who attempted to force a €10 million transfer to Al-Sadd, was excluded after missing training, and the club insists he is not for sale, officially keeping him at Lazio. Injuries have sidelined Patric, Grzegorz Gigot, and possibly Zaccagni, while Luca Pellegrini is suspended. Midfielder Matías Vecino is close to leaving the club on a free transfer to Celta Vigo, and Noslin is under observation for a loan, leaving Sarri with an attack composed of Maldini, Pedro, Zaccagni (if fit), and other options.

Table analysis for the game between Juventus and Lazio

Juventus: This match is very important for Juventus, which is in 4th place with 45 points, within the qualification zone for the Champions League. Every point counts to secure this highly contested spot and even to try to improve their position on the table. The game is decisive to keep the team in the fight for the top!

Lazio: For Lazio, which is in 8th place with 32 points, the match is important to try to climb the table and get closer to European competitions. However, the points difference compared to the qualification zone is significant, so the impact of this game is more modest, an opportunity to gain ground but not an immediate decision.

Summary: The game is important for both, but especially decisive for Juventus, which is fighting hard for a spot in the Champions League. For Lazio, it’s a chance to improve their position, though the situation is less urgent.

How the handicap and odds moved for Juventus x Lazio

It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Juventus x Lazio.

Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Juventus x Lazio

When the best bet on Juventus x Lazio is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1475875 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is betting on Juventus worth it?

🔵 Juventus: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 660 times – this would give you a profit of $336.60
• And would lose other 340 times – having a loss of -$340.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$3.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $489.60
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$340.40.

Is it worth betting on Lazio?

🔴 Lazio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $918.00;
• And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$88.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Juventus x Lazio

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Juventus
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Juventus x Lazio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Juventus and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Juventus.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Lazio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Juventus x Lazio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Juventus x Lazio