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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Juventus x Venezia Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie A
Saturday, 14 December 2024, 19h45 Italy Serie A
Juventus Juventus
PREDICTION Juventus wins Probability 91% 1 X 2
Venezia Venezia
ODD: @1.36 Don't miss this prediction!

Juventus x Venezia Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Juventus x Venezia, Saturday, 14/12/2024
📅 14/12/2024
19:45
Juventus Juventus
1.36
X
4.73
Venezia Venezia
8.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Juventus x Venezia:

🔮 Juventus wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Juventus, you can win up to $680.00!

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The main points for the tip for Juventus x Venezia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Juventus in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $47.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Venezia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Juventus scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Venezia conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Juventus x Venezia?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Juventus x Venezia:

Analysis from Juventus x Venezia for the Italy Serie A – 14 of December

🏟️ Juventus X Venezia – Italy Serie A
📅 14 of December, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Juventus – Winning probability: 91.62% | Fair line: 1.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.75% | Fair line: 14.81
🔴 Venezia – Winning probability: 1.63% | Fair line: 61.51
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Juventus
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Juventus x Venezia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1236358 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Juventus x Venezia

Should you bet on Juventus?

🔵 Juventus: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 91.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 920 times – having a profit of $331.20;
  • And would lose other 80 times – having a loss of -$80.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$251.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $261.10;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$668.90.

Is it worth betting on Venezia?

🔴 Venezia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $150.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$830.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Juventus x Venezia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Juventus
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Juventus x Venezia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Juventus, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Juventus.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Juventus.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Juventus x Venezia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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