Lazio x Atalanta Betting tips for December 28 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Lazio x Atalanta, Saturday, 28/12/2024

📅 28/12/2024 19:45

Lazio 2.87

X 3.37

Atalanta 2.41

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lazio x Atalanta:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Lazio x Atalanta

The main points for the tip for Lazio x Atalanta: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $178.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atalanta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $426.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Atalanta scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Atalanta is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 7 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Analysis from Lazio x Atalanta for the Italy Serie A – 28 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lazio and Atalanta.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1240180 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lazio x Atalanta

Is it worth betting on Lazio?

🔵 Lazio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $523.60;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$196.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $687.30;
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$22.70.

Is it worth betting on Atalanta?

🔴 Atalanta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.41. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $606.30
• And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$36.30, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lazio x Atalanta

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Lazio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lazio x Atalanta

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Lazio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Lazio.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Atalanta.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lazio x Atalanta

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.