Lazio x Empoli Betting tips for October 6 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Lazio x Empoli, Sunday, 6/10/2024

📅 6/10/2024 10:00

Lazio 1.53

X 4.00

Empoli 6.14

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lazio x Empoli:

🔮 Empoli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Empoli, you can win up to $3070.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Lazio x Empoli: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $98.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Empoli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1140.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Lazio scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Empoli scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Empoli, Lazio scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Lazio matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Lazio conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Empoli has not lost any of them. 👉 Lazio has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Empoli playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Lazio x Empoli?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lazio x Empoli, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Lazio x Empoli for the Italy Serie A – 6 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lazio x Empoli right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1195226 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lazio x Empoli

Should you bet on Lazio?

🔵 Lazio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $296.80
• And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$143.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $660.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$120.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Empoli?

🔴 Empoli: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $1130.80
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$350.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lazio x Empoli

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lazio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lazio x Empoli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Lazio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Lazio.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Empoli.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lazio x Empoli

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.