Lazio x Fiorentina Betting tips for January 26 in Italy Serie A
π
26/1/2025 19:45 |
![]() 2.05 |
X 3.41 |
Fiorentina ![]() 3.50 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lazio x Fiorentina:
π Ummβ¦what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Lazio x Fiorentina
Some important points for the tip for Lazio x Fiorentina: π If you had bet $100 on Fiorentina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. |
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Analysis from Lazio x Fiorentina for the Italy Serie A β 26 of January
ποΈ Lazio X Fiorentina β Italy Serie A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lazio and Fiorentina.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1251610 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Lazio x Fiorentina
Is it worth betting on Lazio?
π΅ Lazio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 460 times β profiting $483.00;
- And would have lost other 540 times β with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$57.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.41. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 290 times β having a profit of $698.90;
- And would lose other 710 times β having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$11.10.
Should you bet on Fiorentina?
π΄ Fiorentina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times β profiting $650.00;
- And would lose other 740 times β losing -$740.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$90.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lazio x Fiorentina
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1Γ2: -0.5 Lazio
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1Γ2 market for Lazio x Fiorentina
β Handicap 1Γ2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Lazio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Lazio.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1Γ2 is on: -0.25 Lazio.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lazio x Fiorentina
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.