Lazio x Roma Betting tips for April 13 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Lazio x Roma, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 18:45

Lazio 2.50

X 3.25

Roma 2.81

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lazio x Roma:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Lazio x Roma

Important information for your tip for Lazio x Roma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-370.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $69.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Lazio scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Roma scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Lazio matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Lazio x Roma, with Lazio as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Lazio conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Lazio has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Roma playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Lazio x Roma?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lazio x Roma, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Lazio x Roma for the Italy Serie A – 13 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lazio x Roma right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1302187 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lazio x Roma

Should you bet on Lazio?

🔵 Lazio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $480.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$200.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 350 times – profiting $787.50;
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$137.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on Roma?

🔴 Roma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.81. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $597.30;
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$72.70.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lazio x Roma

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Lazio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lazio x Roma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Lazio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Lazio.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lazio x Roma

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.