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Home ยป Predictions ยป Italy Serie A ยป Lazio x Sassuolo Betting tips for May 26 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 26 May 2024, 18h45 Italy Serie A
Lazio Lazio
PREDICTION Lazio wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
Sassuolo Sassuolo
ODD: @1.33 Don't miss this prediction!

Lazio x Sassuolo Betting tips for May 26 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Lazio x Sassuolo, Sunday, 26/5/2024
๐Ÿ“… 26/5/2024
18:45
Lazio Lazio
1.33
X
5.22
Sassuolo Sassuolo
7.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lazio x Sassuolo:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Lazio wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lazio, you can win up to $665.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Lazio x Sassuolo:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $533.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sassuolo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Lazio scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sassuolo scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Sassuolo, Lazio scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Sassuolo matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Sassuolo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Lazio is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Lazio has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Sassuolo playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Lazio x Sassuolo?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Lazio x Sassuolo:

Analysis from Lazio x Sassuolo for the Italy Serie A – 26 of May

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Lazio X Sassuolo – Italy Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 26 of May, 2024 – 18:45
๐Ÿ”ต Lazio – Winning probability: 80.25% | Fair line: 1.25
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.66% | Fair line: 6.82
๐Ÿ”ด Sassuolo – Winning probability: 5.10% | Fair line: 19.62
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Lazio
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Lazio x Sassuolo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1125546 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lazio x Sassuolo

Is betting on Lazio worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Lazio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 80.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 800 times – this would give you a profit of $264.00
  • And would lose other 200 times – losing -$200.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$64.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $633.00;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$217.00.

Should you bet on Sassuolo?

๐Ÿ”ด Sassuolo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $310.00;
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$640.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Lazio x Sassuolo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Lazio
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lazio x Sassuolo

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Lazio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Lazio.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Sassuolo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lazio x Sassuolo

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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