Lazio x Verona Betting tips for September 16 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Lazio x Verona, Monday, 16/9/2024

📅 16/9/2024 15:45

Lazio 1.63

X 3.75

Verona 5.28

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lazio x Verona:

🔮 Verona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Verona, you can win up to $2640.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Lazio x Verona: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-94.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Verona in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $155.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Lazio scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Verona, Lazio scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Lazio matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Lazio conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Lazio has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Verona playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lazio x Verona?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lazio x Verona, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Lazio x Verona for the Italy Serie A – 16 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lazio x Verona right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1180955 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lazio x Verona

Should you bet on Lazio?

🔵 Lazio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 54.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.63. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $346.50;
• And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$103.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $632.50
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$137.50.

Is it worth betting on Verona?

🔴 Verona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $941.60;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$161.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lazio x Verona

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Lazio
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lazio x Verona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Lazio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Lazio.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lazio x Verona

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.