Lecce x Genoa Betting tips for January 5 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 5/1/2025 14:00 |
 Lecce2.62 |
X 2.95 |
Genoa  2.90 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lecce x Genoa:
🔮 Lecce wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lecce, you can win up to $1310.00!
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Important information for your tip for Lecce x Genoa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lecce in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-10.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Lecce x Genoa?
If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:
Analysis from Lecce x Genoa for the Italy Serie A – 5 of January
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🏟️ Lecce X Genoa – Italy Serie A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lecce and Genoa.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1242039 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Lecce x Genoa
Should you bet on Lecce?
🔵 Lecce: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $988.20
- And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$598.20.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $370.50
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$439.50.
Is it worth betting on Genoa?
🔴 Genoa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $380.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$420.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lecce x Genoa
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lecce
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lecce x Genoa
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Lecce, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Lecce.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Lecce.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lecce x Genoa
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
