Lecce x Genoa Betting tips for May 24 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Lecce x Genoa, Sunday, 24/5/2026

📅 24/5/2026 18:45

Lecce 1.74

X 3.50

Genoa 4.72

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lecce x Genoa:

🔮 Genoa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Genoa, you can win up to $2360.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Lecce x Genoa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lecce in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Genoa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-5.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Lecce conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Genoa has not lost any of them.
👉 Lecce has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Genoa playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Lecce x Genoa?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2026, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Lecce x Genoa:

Analysis from Lecce x Genoa for the Italy Serie A – 24 of May

The latest news about Lecce x Genoa

Lecce: Lecce secured a dramatic 1-0 victory over Sassuolo on 17 May 2026, thanks to a last-minute goal in the 96th minute, strengthening their position in the fight for survival in Serie A. The squad continues to rely heavily on the left-side partnership formed by full-back Antonino Gallo, who is the teams main provider, and forward Lameck Banda, who leads the club in both assists and goals this season. Despite this, the side still struggles with an inefficient attack: they have scored only 24 goals in the league, the lowest tally alongside Verona. For the final stretch, Lecce go into upcoming fixtures with several key players sidelined, most notably Berat Berishas injury that ended his season, and doubts over the availability of Fofana, Gaspar and Sottil for the next matches.

Genoa: Genoa are undergoing a significant restructuring ahead of next season, with Adriano Galliani, former Monza vice-president, being tipped for a prominent leadership role within the clubs hierarchy. At the same time, there are rumours that former sporting director Alberto Furlani may step back, prompting a search for a new “strongman” to lead the sporting department. Meanwhile, Zlatan Ibrahimović, who served as a senior advisor to owner Gerry Cardinale, appears to be stepping away from day-to-day involvement with the team.

Odds and handicap movements for Lecce x Genoa

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Lecce x Genoa.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lecce x Genoa

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lecce x Genoa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1550804 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is betting on Lecce worth it?

🔵 Lecce: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $310.80
• And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$269.20.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $725.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$15.00.

Should you bet on Genoa?

🔴 Genoa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $1078.80;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$368.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lecce x Genoa

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lecce
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lecce x Genoa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Lecce, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Lecce.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Genoa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lecce x Genoa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Lecce x Genoa