Lecce x Parma Betting tips for January 11 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Lecce x Parma, Sunday, 11/1/2026

📅 11/1/2026 11:30

Lecce 2.62

X 2.90

Parma 2.84

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lecce x Parma:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Lecce x Parma

The main points for the tip for Lecce x Parma:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lecce in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $60.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $190.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Parma scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Parma, Lecce scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Lecce x Parma, with Lecce as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Lecce x Parma for the Italy Serie A – 11 of January

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lecce x Parma

When the best bet on Lecce x Parma is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1460537 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Should you bet on Lecce?

🔵 Lecce: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $648.00;
• And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$48.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $627.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$43.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on Parma?

🔴 Parma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $496.80
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$233.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lecce x Parma

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Lecce
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lecce x Parma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Lecce and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Lecce.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lecce x Parma

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.