Lecce x Pisa Betting tips for December 12 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Lecce x Pisa, Friday, 12/12/2025

📅 12/12/2025 19:45

Lecce 2.25

X 3.00

Pisa 3.45

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lecce x Pisa:

🔮 Pisa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Pisa, you can win up to $1725.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Lecce x Pisa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lecce in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Pisa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Pisa scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Pisa matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Pisa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Pisa has not lost any of them.

🤖 ChatGPT’s take on our prediction for Lecce vs Pisa:

⚽ The match between Lecce and Pisa at Via del Mare stadium promises to be a tense duel, especially considering that Lecce is playing at their usual stadium, which could be a significant advantage. Analyzing recent statistics, Lecce has a balanced home performance with an average of 1 goal scored and conceded per game, along with a reasonable ball possession (46%). Pisa, on the other hand, shows clear difficulties away from home, conceding more goals (average 2) than they score (average 1), with low ball possession (36%) and few shots on target. This indicates Lecce should have greater control of the game.

📈 In the league table, both teams are fighting to avoid relegation or improve their position in Serie A/B. Lecce is in a delicate situation but has a creative midfield renewed by Berisha and colleagues to seek important points at home. Pisa comes from poor results away and urgently needs to score points to climb the Serie B standings.

📰 The news reinforces this analysis: Lecce faces offensive difficulties but has creative potential in midfield; Pisa is going through a tough time after a recent loss against Inter. This suggests the home team has higher motivation to secure the three points.

Analyzing the provided median odds: Lecce win (2.25), draw (3), Pisa win (3.5). Converting these odds into normalized implied probabilities, we get approximately: Lecce 44%, draw 33%, Pisa 23%. Considering Pisas weak defensive stats away from home and Lecces slight offensive superiority playing at Via del Mare, my fair estimate would be close to this or slightly more favorable to the home team.

The Bets Kenya model suggests higher predicted odds for the home win (~2.5), indicating a lower chance of victory compared to the bookies odds; it also gives a positive expected value only for the away win (~9.7%), despite the evident defensive fragilities of the visitors in recent data not supporting full confidence in betting against the home team.

My recommendation: bet on Lecce victory, as they perform better overall playing at their usual stadium Via del Mare, with a renewed creative midfield despite recent offensive struggles, while Pisa suffers defensively away and is under pressure from recent poor form.
The calculated expected value considering my fair probabilities indicates a good opportunity in this bet given the current odds undervaluation.

Avoid bets on the draw or away victory due to the visitors low offensive potential away from home.

Bet responsibly! 🍀

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Lecce x Pisa?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Lecce x Pisa:

Analysis from Lecce x Pisa for the Italy Serie A – 12 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lecce and Pisa.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452043 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Latest news on Lecce x Pisa

Lecce: Lecce, led by Eusebio Di Francesco, is fighting against relegation in Serie A and has faced offensive struggles, scoring only ten goals in the league while suffering nineteen. However, their midfield provides depth with the resurgence of Albanian playmaker Medon Berisha, complemented by Coulibaly, Ramadani, and the versatile Pierotti, offering both defensive solidity and creativity in attack. Recently, the team suffered a 2-0 away defeat to Cremonese on December 7, fielding Falcone, Veiga, Gaspar, Tiago Gabriel, and Gallo in defense, with a 4-2-3-1 midfield formed by Coulibaly, Ramadani, and Berisha behind Stulic, Pierotti, and Banda. Now, Lecce faces a home match against Cremona on Sunday, followed by a crucial Serie A clash against Pisa on Friday, December 12, both games being decisive for their survival chances.

Pisa SC: Pisa SC suffered a 2-0 defeat to Inter Milan in their most recent league match, a result highlighted in recent Italian sports coverage. The loss is part of a challenging period for the club, which has been struggling to earn points in Serie B this season and aims to improve its position in the second half of the campaign.

Table analysis for the match between Lecce x Pisa

Lecce: Lecce is in 17th place, very close to the relegation zone, with 13 points. This match is very important for them, as a victory could help them escape this dangerous area and breathe a little, avoiding direct relegation. Every point counts a lot in this final stretch to stay in Serie A. ⚠️

Pisa: Pisa is in 18th place, within the relegation zone, with only 10 points. The game is crucial to try to move away from relegation and seek recovery. The difference with Lecce is small, and the team urgently needs to earn points to keep any chance of remaining in Italy’s top flight. 🚨

Summary: This is a very important duel for both teams, as the match could determine who starts to leave behind the fight against relegation. It’s a life-or-death game in such a tight championship! 🔥

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lecce x Pisa

Is betting on Lecce worth it?

🔵 Lecce: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 380 times – profiting $475.00;
• And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$145.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Pisa?

🔴 Pisa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $784.00
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$104.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lecce x Pisa

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lecce
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lecce x Pisa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Lecce and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Lecce.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lecce x Pisa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.