Lecce x Roma Betting tips for January 6 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Lecce x Roma, Tuesday, 6/1/2026

📅 6/1/2026 17:00

Lecce 5.14

X 3.47

Roma 1.73

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lecce x Roma:

🔮 Roma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Roma, you can win up to $865.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Lecce x Roma:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lecce in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $60.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-113.0.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Lecce x Roma, with Lecce as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

🤖 What’s ChatGPT’s opinion on our prediction for Lecce vs Roma?

Lets analyze the match between Lecce and Roma at the Via del Mare stadium, which is Lecces usual stadium, thus ensuring the home advantage for them. 🏟️

📈 Lecce has shown a reasonable performance at home in recent matches, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 home games. They scored an average of 0.6 goals per game at home and conceded about 1 goal per match. Roma, on the other hand, has a stronger away record in the same league, scoring an average of 1 goal per game and conceding fewer goals (0.4), despite three recent away losses.

The median odds indicate a clear favoritism for Roma (1.72), while Lecce appears as the underdog (5.14), and the draw is average (3.45). Converting these odds into normalized implied probabilities, we get approximately: Lecce win ~18%, draw ~29%, Roma win ~53%. Considering the balanced offensive stats but better defensive stats for Roma, this distribution makes sense.

However, crossing the technical data — slightly favoring Roma possession (52% vs 48%), more accurate shots by the visiting team but also a higher number of fouls committed — suggests the game could be played in the midfield with real chances for both sides.

The news analysis shows Lecce is motivated after holding a big team like Juventus to a tough draw away; this could boost their morale playing now in front of their fans at Via del Mare.
Roma is seen as a consistent Serie A leader with excellent defense under coach José Gasperi — reinforcing their favoritism even when playing away.

The Bets Kenya model suggests positive value only in betting on Lecces victory (EV +7.22%), indicating that the high odds given to the home team can be exploited by attentive bettors.
I agree with this view! Despite Romas overall technical superiority, the home factor combined with Lecces recent motivation justifies betting on a possible surprise here.
Betting on the draw or the visiting win does not present a positive expected value according to my detailed analysis.

My suggestion: Take advantage of the high odds to bet on Lecces victory, as there is an interesting potential return considering their current form and home advantage!

📰 News positively influenced my assessment of Lecces competitive potential in this match after holding Juventus recently; Romas solid defensive strength confirms their favoritism but does not eliminate the real chance of the home team surprising.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Lecce x Roma?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lecce x Roma, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Lecce x Roma for the Italy Serie A – 6 of January

The latest news about Lecce x Roma

Lecce: Lecce managed to hold Juventus to a 1-1 draw at the Allianz Stadium on January 3, 2026, thwarting the Bianconeris attempt to secure fourth place; after Juventus opened the scoring, the home team equalized and saw Canadian forward David miss a penalty at the end, which led Juventus coach Luciano Spalletti to defend his player while acknowledging the resilient performance of the Salento team that kept the points out of Turins reach.

Roma: Roma finished the 2025 Serie A campaign as the most consistent team in the league, accumulating 82 points – the highest in the competition that year – and keeping 18 clean sheets, the best defensive record since 2014. Under coach José Gasperi, the club entered their 18th round match against Atalanta on January 3, 2026, with a 3-4-2-1 formation including Antonio Svilar in goal, a three-man defense consisting of Mancini, Ziolkowski, and Hermoso, midfielders Celik, Cristante, Koné, and Rensch, and an attacking trio of Soulé, Dybala, and striker Ferguson.

Table analysis for the match between Lecce and Roma

Lecce: Lecce is in 16th place with 17 points, occupying one of the last spots on the table and very close to the relegation zone. Every point is crucial to try to move away from relegation, so the match against Roma is very important for them to avoid greater risks and continue seeking to stay in Serie A. A victory here would be a relief and could mean an important step to escape danger. ⚠️

Roma: Roma is in 5th place with 33 points, currently securing a spot in the UEFA Europa League. They are close to the top group and still have chances to fight for a Champions League spot, which is just 1 point above them in 4th place. Therefore, winning away at Lecce is crucial to keep the fight for a better position alive and to increase their lead over the teams just behind in the table. It’s an important game to continue aiming for international achievements. 🏆

Summary: The game is important for both teams, but for different reasons: Lecce fights to escape relegation and Roma wants to advance in the standings for European competitions. Undoubtedly, a match with a lot of pressure and significance for both teams! ⚽🔥

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lecce x Roma

When the best bet on Lecce x Roma is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1459376 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is betting on Lecce worth it?

🔵 Lecce: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.14. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $703.80
• And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$126.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.47. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $494.00;
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$306.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Roma?

🔴 Roma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $452.60;
• And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$72.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lecce x Roma

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Lecce
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lecce x Roma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Lecce and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Lecce.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Lecce.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lecce x Roma

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.