Monza x AC Milan Betting tips for November 2 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 2/11/2024 19:45 |
 Monza4.48 |
X 3.80 |
AC Milan  1.72 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Monza x AC Milan:
🔮 AC Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AC Milan, you can win up to $860.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Monza x AC Milan: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-325.0. |
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Analysis from Monza x AC Milan for the Italy Serie A – 2 of November
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🏟️ Monza X AC Milan – Italy Serie A |
When the best bet on Monza x AC Milan is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1214237 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Monza x AC Milan
Is it a good idea to bet on Monza?
🔵 Monza: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – profiting $348.00;
- And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$552.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $448.00;
- And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$392.00.
Should you bet on AC Milan?
🔴 AC Milan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 74.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $532.80;
- And would lose other 260 times – losing -$260.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$272.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Monza x AC Milan
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Monza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monza x AC Milan
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Monza and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Monza.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Monza.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monza x AC Milan
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
