Monza x Cagliari Betting tips for January 5 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Monza x Cagliari, Sunday, 5/1/2025

📅 5/1/2025 11:30

Monza 2.40

X 3.24

Cagliari 2.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Monza x Cagliari:

🔮 Monza wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monza, you can win up to $1200.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Monza x Cagliari: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Monza conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Cagliari conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Monza as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches. 👉 It is not a good time for Cagliari as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Monza x Cagliari?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Monza x Cagliari, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Monza x Cagliari for the Italy Serie A – 5 of January

When the best bet on Monza x Cagliari is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1242039 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Monza x Cagliari

Is it worth betting on Monza?

🔵 Monza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $616.00;
• And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$56.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $672.00
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$28.00.

Should you bet on Cagliari?

🔴 Cagliari: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $494.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$246.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Monza x Cagliari

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Monza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monza x Cagliari

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Monza, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Monza.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Monza.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monza x Cagliari

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.