Monza x Fiorentina Betting tips for January 13 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Monza x Fiorentina, Monday, 13/1/2025

📅 13/1/2025 19:45

Monza 4.05

X 3.60

Fiorentina 1.86

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Monza x Fiorentina:

🔮 Fiorentina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fiorentina, you can win up to $930.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Monza x Fiorentina: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fiorentina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Monza scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Monza matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Monza conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Fiorentina conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Monza as home team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Monza x Fiorentina?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Monza x Fiorentina, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Monza x Fiorentina for the Italy Serie A – 13 of January

When the best bet on Monza x Fiorentina is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1245169 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Monza x Fiorentina

Is it a good idea to bet on Monza?

🔵 Monza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – profiting $640.50;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$149.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $598.00
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$172.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Fiorentina?

🔴 Fiorentina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $481.60
• And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$41.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Monza x Fiorentina

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Monza
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monza x Fiorentina

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Monza and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Monza.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monza x Fiorentina

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.