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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Monza x Juventus Betting tips for December 22 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 22 December 2024, 19h45 Italy Serie A
Monza Monza
PREDICTION Juventus Wins Probability 73% 1 X 2
Juventus Juventus
ODD: @1.68 Don't miss this prediction!

Monza x Juventus Betting tips for December 22 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Monza x Juventus, Sunday, 22/12/2024
📅 22/12/2024
19:45
Monza Monza
5.25
X
3.50
Juventus Juventus
1.68

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Monza x Juventus:

🔮 Juventus wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Juventus, you can win up to $840.00!

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The main points for the tip for Monza x Juventus:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Monza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Juventus in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-305.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Juventus, Monza scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Juventus matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Monza conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Juventus has not lost any of them.
👉 It is not a good time for Monza as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Monza x Juventus?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Monza x Juventus, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Monza x Juventus for the Italy Serie A – 22 of December

🏟️ Monza X Juventus – Italy Serie A
📅 22 of December, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Monza – Winning probability: 6.54% | Fair line: 15.28
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.91% | Fair line: 5.02
🔴 Juventus – Winning probability: 73.54% | Fair line: 1.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Monza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Monza x Juventus right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1239281 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Monza x Juventus

Is it worth betting on Monza?

🔵 Monza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $297.50
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$632.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $500.00
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$300.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Juventus?

🔴 Juventus: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 73.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 740 times – profiting $503.20;
  • And would have lost other 260 times – with a loss of -$260.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$243.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Monza x Juventus

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Monza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monza x Juventus

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Monza, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Monza.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Juventus.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monza x Juventus

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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