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Home ยป Predictions ยป Italy Serie A ยป Monza x Verona Betting tips for February 1 in Italy Serie A
Saturday, 01 February 2025, 14h00 Italy Serie A
Monza Monza
PREDICTION Verona Wins Probability 40% 1 X 2
Verona Verona
ODD: @3.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Monza x Verona Betting tips for February 1 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Monza x Verona, Saturday, 1/2/2025
๐Ÿ“… 1/2/2025
14:00
Monza Monza
2.15
X
3.30
Verona Verona
3.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Monza x Verona:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Verona wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Verona, you can win up to $1700.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Monza x Verona:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Monza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Verona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $650.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Monza scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Monza matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Monza conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Verona conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Monza x Verona?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Monza x Verona for the Italy Serie A โ€“ 1 of February

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Monza X Verona โ€“ Italy Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 1 of February, 2025 โ€“ 14:00
๐Ÿ”ต Monza โ€“ Winning probability: 32.07% | Fair line: 3.12
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 27.66% | Fair line: 3.62
๐Ÿ”ด Verona โ€“ Winning probability: 40.28% | Fair line: 2.48
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: +0.25 Monza
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Monza x Verona is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1254613 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1ร—2 market for Monza x Verona

Should you bet on Monza?

๐Ÿ”ต Monza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times โ€“ this would give you a profit of $368.00
  • And would lose other 680 times โ€“ having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$312.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times โ€“ having a profit of $644.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times โ€“ having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$76.00.

Should you bet on Verona?

๐Ÿ”ด Verona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 400 times โ€“ profiting $960.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times โ€“ losing -$600.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$360.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Monza x Verona

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: +0.25 Monza
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for Monza x Verona

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Monza, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Monza.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1ร—2 is on: 0.25 Verona.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monza x Verona

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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