Napoli x Como Betting tips for October 4 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 4/10/2024 13:30 |
 Napoli1.42 |
X 4.55 |
Como  6.75 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Napoli x Como:
🔮 Napoli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Napoli, you can win up to $710.00!
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Important information for your tip for Napoli x Como: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Napoli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $100.0. |
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Analysis from Napoli x Como for the Italy Serie A – 4 of October
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🏟️ Napoli X Como – Italy Serie A |
When the best bet on Napoli x Como is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1194241 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Napoli x Como
Is betting on Napoli worth it?
🔵 Napoli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 83.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 830 times – this would give you a profit of $348.60
- And would lose other 170 times – losing -$170.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$178.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – profiting $461.50;
- And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$408.50.
Should you bet on Como?
🔴 Como: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 40 times – profiting $230.00;
- And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$730.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Napoli x Como
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Napoli
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Napoli x Como
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Napoli, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Napoli. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Napoli x Como
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
