Napoli x Empoli Betting tips for April 14 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Napoli x Empoli, Monday, 14/4/2025

📅 14/4/2025 18:45

Napoli 1.30

X 5.22

Empoli 10.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Napoli x Empoli:

🔮 Napoli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Napoli, you can win up to $650.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Napoli x Empoli: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Napoli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $88.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Empoli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Napoli scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Empoli matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Napoli x Empoli, with Napoli as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Napoli conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Empoli conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for another bookie to bet on Napoli x Empoli?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Napoli x Empoli for the Italy Serie A – 14 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Napoli x Empoli right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1303016 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Napoli x Empoli

Should you bet on Napoli?

🔵 Napoli: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 83.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 830 times – profiting $249.00;
• And would lose other 170 times – having a loss of -$170.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$79.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $422.00;
• And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$478.00.

Is it worth betting on Empoli?

🔴 Empoli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 10.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $630.00;
• And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$300.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Napoli x Empoli

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Napoli
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Napoli x Empoli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Napoli and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Napoli.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Empoli.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Napoli x Empoli

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.