Napoli x Lecce Betting tips for October 26 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 26/10/2024 13:00 |
 Napoli1.30 |
X 5.00 |
Lecce  9.00 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Napoli x Lecce:
🔮 Napoli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Napoli, you can win up to $650.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Napoli x Lecce: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Napoli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $245.0. |
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Analysis from Napoli x Lecce for the Italy Serie A – 26 of October
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🏟️ Napoli X Lecce – Italy Serie A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Napoli x Lecce right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1208521 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Napoli x Lecce
Is it a good idea to bet on Napoli?
🔵 Napoli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 90.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 910 times – profiting $273.00;
- And would have lost other 90 times – with a loss of -$90.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$183.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $240.00;
- And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$700.00.
Should you bet on Lecce?
🔴 Lecce: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $240.00
- And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$730.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Napoli x Lecce
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Napoli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Napoli x Lecce
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Napoli and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Napoli.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Napoli x Lecce
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
