Napoli x Venezia Betting tips for December 29 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 29/12/2024 14:00 |
 Napoli1.27 |
X 5.75 |
Venezia  10.50 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Napoli x Venezia:
🔮 Napoli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Napoli, you can win up to $635.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Napoli x Venezia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Napoli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-50.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Napoli x Venezia?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Napoli x Venezia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Napoli x Venezia for the Italy Serie A – 29 of December
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🏟️ Napoli X Venezia – Italy Serie A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Napoli x Venezia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1240320 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Napoli x Venezia
Is betting on Napoli worth it?
🔵 Napoli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 92.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.27. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 930 times – this would give you a profit of $251.10
- And would lose other 70 times – losing -$70.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$181.10.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $237.50;
- And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$712.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Venezia?
🔴 Venezia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 10.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $190.00
- And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$790.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Napoli x Venezia
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Napoli
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Napoli x Venezia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Napoli, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Napoli.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Napoli.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Napoli x Venezia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
