Parma x Inter Milan Betting tips for April 5 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Parma x Inter Milan, Saturday, 5/4/2025

📅 5/4/2025 16:00

Parma 6.00

X 4.50

Inter Milan 1.48

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Parma x Inter Milan:

🔮 Inter Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Inter Milan, you can win up to $740.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Parma x Inter Milan: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-100.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-81.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Inter Milan scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Inter Milan matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Parma conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Inter Milan. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Inter Milan has not lost any of them. 👉 Even as a visitor, Inter Milan won the last 4 head-to-head matches Parma´s territory

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Parma x Inter Milan?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Parma x Inter Milan, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Parma x Inter Milan for the Italy Serie A – 5 of April

When the best bet on Parma x Inter Milan is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1295985 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Parma x Inter Milan

Is it a good idea to bet on Parma?

🔵 Parma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $500.00;
• And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$400.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 130 times – profiting $455.00;
• And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$415.00.

Is it worth betting on Inter Milan?

🔴 Inter Milan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $369.60
• And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$139.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Parma x Inter Milan

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Parma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Parma x Inter Milan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Parma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Parma.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Parma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Parma x Inter Milan

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.