Parma x Lazio Betting tips for December 13 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Parma x Lazio, Saturday, 13/12/2025

📅 13/12/2025 17:00

Parma 3.60

X 3.25

Lazio 2.07

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Parma x Lazio:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1625.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Parma x Lazio:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 Lazio did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 Lazio matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Parma conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Parma conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Lazio.

🤖 What’s ChatGPT’s opinion on our prediction for Parma vs Lazio?

Lets analyze the match between Parma and Lazio at the Ennio Tardini stadium, which is Parmas usual stadium, giving them the home advantage. 🏟️

📈 Parma is in 17th place in Serie A with 11 points, fighting to escape the relegation zone. In recent home games, they scored an average of 0.6 goals per match and conceded about 1.6 goals, showing defensive fragility and low offensive efficiency (0 wins in the last 5 home games). Lazio, on the other hand, performs better away from home with an average of 1 goal scored and only 0.2 conceded in recent league matches, along with a more balanced recent record.

📰 News reports indicate Parma is motivated after a narrow victory against Pisa to try to move away from the danger zone under coach Carlos Cuesta. Lazio faces important absences like defender Gilas suspension but maintains good form playing at their stadium (despite this being an away game), aiming to break their recent goal drought.

Analyzing the median odds: Parma win (3.6), draw (3.25), Lazio win (2.07). Converting to normalized implied probabilities, we get approximately: Parma ~26%, Draw ~29%, Lazio ~45%. Considering Parmas weak defensive stats and Lazios greater offensive consistency even away, my fair estimate would be close to this or slightly more favorable to Lazio.

The fair odds analysis suggests that betting on Lazios victory has a moderate positive expected value due to their technical superiority and defensive stability compared to Parmas fragile attack/home defense.

Suggestion: Bet on Lazio, as despite absences, they have better overall performance and a higher realistic chance according to recent data; the expected value calculated by the model also indicates this (+2% EV). I would avoid bets on a draw or Parma victory given their recent poor offensive performance at home.

The Bets Kenya model suggests positive value only on a draw (+5% EV), but I partially disagree as I see greater potential in the visiting teams victory based on the analysis of technical data combined with recent news — I believe a draw could happen but isnt as likely as the visiting team maintaining strength in this tough match for the home team.

Final summary:

• Lazio wins: recommended bet based on recent stats + team context;
• Draw: possible but less likely;
• Parma victory: unlikely considering their recent poor offensive performance even at home;

Use this detailed analysis to make your informed bet! ⚽💰

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Parma x Lazio?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Parma x Lazio:

Analysis from Parma x Lazio for the Italy Serie A – 13 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Parma and Lazio.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452291 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Latest news on Parma x Lazio

Parma: Parma is currently 17th in Serie A with 11 points, just one point ahead of Pisa, which is in the relegation zone, and is preparing for a home match against Lazio on Saturday, December 13, under coach Carlos Cuesta. The team recently ended a winless streak by beating Pisa 1-0 on December 8, thanks to a header in the first half by Benedyczak, with a lineup consisting of a defensive line of Corvi, Delprato, Estevez, and Valenti, a midfield of Britschgi, Bernabé, Keita, Ondrejka, and Valeri, and the attacking duo of Benedyczak and Pellegrino, while the squad continues to rely on Nzolas aerial presence and the good form of Argentine striker Pellegrino.

Lazio: Lazio, under Maurizio Sarri, will face Bologna in the 14th round of Serie A on December 7, 2025, with Sarri opting for a 4-3-3 formation: Provedel in goal; a defensive line of Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, and Tavares; a midfield trio of Guendouzi, Cataldi, and Basic; and an offensive line of Isaksen, Castellanos, and Zaccagni. Despite the suspension of defender Gila for the next match, the biancocelesti are in good form playing at home, having earned 13 of 18 possible points at the Olimpico and remaining goal-free there since early October, while seeking to improve a recent goal drought that started on October 4 against Torino.

Table analysis for the match between Parma and Lazio

Parma: Parma is in 15th place with 14 points, in a delicate situation close to the relegation zone. With only a few rounds left in the championship, the team needs to seek points to distance itself from the danger zone and avoid dropping to Serie B. Therefore, the match against Lazio is crucial for Parma, as a victory could be an important step to stay out of the relegation zone. No easy game here, its time to fight for survival! ⚽⚠️

Lazio: Lazio is in 10th place with 19 points, with a reasonable gap to the top spots that lead to European competitions. The team seems to be in an intermediate zone, without an immediate threat of relegation, but also far from fighting for a spot in international tournaments. So, for Lazio, the game has medium importance: it could be an opportunity to gather more points and improve the ranking, but it’s not decisive for bigger achievements at this stage of the competition.

Summary: The game is very important for Parma, which fights to escape relegation, and of medium importance for Lazio, already comfortably positioned in the middle of the table without real chances of accessing international competitions. Therefore, the match is more decisive for Parma than for Lazio.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Parma x Lazio

Is it worth betting on Parma?

🔵 Parma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $546.00
• And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$244.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 370 times – profiting $832.50;
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$202.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Lazio?

🔴 Lazio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 420 times – profiting $449.40;
• And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$130.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Parma x Lazio

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Parma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Parma x Lazio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Parma, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Parma. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Parma x Lazio

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.