Parma x Lecce Betting tips for January 31 in Italy Serie A
π
31/1/2025 19:45 |
![]() 2.08 |
X 3.44 |
Lecce ![]() 3.40 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Parma x Lecce:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Parma x Lecce
The main points for the tip for Parma x Lecce: π If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $183.0. |
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Analysis from Parma x Lecce for the Italy Serie A β 31 of January
ποΈ Parma X Lecce β Italy Serie A |
When the best bet on Parma x Lecce is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1254219 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1Γ2 market for Parma x Lecce
Is betting on Parma worth it?
π΅ Parma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 450 times β profiting $486.00;
- And would lose other 550 times β having a loss of -$550.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$64.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 280 times β this would give you a profit of $683.20
- And would lose other 720 times β losing -$720.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$36.80.
Is betting on Lecce worth it?
π΄ Lecce: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 270 times β having a profit of $648.00;
- And would lose other 730 times β having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$82.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Parma x Lecce
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1Γ2: -0.5 Parma
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1Γ2 market for Parma x Lecce
β Handicap 1Γ2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Parma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Parma.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1Γ2 is on: -0.25 Parma.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Parma x Lecce
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.