Parma x Monza Betting tips for December 28 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Parma x Monza, Saturday, 28/12/2024

📅 28/12/2024 14:00

Parma 2.05

X 3.50

Monza 3.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Parma x Monza:

🔮 Parma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Parma, you can win up to $1025.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Parma x Monza: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Parma scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Parma matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Parma conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Monza conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Parma x Monza?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Parma x Monza:

Analysis from Parma x Monza for the Italy Serie A – 28 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Parma x Monza right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1240180 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Parma x Monza

Should you bet on Parma?

🔵 Parma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $493.50
• And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$36.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $675.00;
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$55.00.

Should you bet on Monza?

🔴 Monza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $650.00;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$90.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Parma x Monza

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Parma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Parma x Monza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Parma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Parma.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Parma x Monza

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.