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Home ยป Predictions ยป Italy Serie A ยป Parma x Udinese Betting tips for September 16 in Italy Serie A
Monday, 16 September 2024, 13h30 Italy Serie A
Parma Parma
PREDICTION Parma wins Probability 46% 1 X 2
Udinese Udinese
ODD: @2.34 Don't miss this prediction!

Parma x Udinese Betting tips for September 16 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Parma x Udinese, Monday, 16/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 16/9/2024
13:30
Parma Parma
2.34
X
3.35
Udinese Udinese
2.95

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Parma x Udinese:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Parma wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Parma, you can win up to $1170.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Parma x Udinese:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $475.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-52.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Udinese, Parma scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Udinese matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Parma conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Parma has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Udinese playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Parma x Udinese?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Parma x Udinese:

Analysis from Parma x Udinese for the Italy Serie A – 16 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Parma X Udinese – Italy Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 16 of September, 2024 – 13:30
๐Ÿ”ต Parma – Winning probability: 46.59% | Fair line: 2.15
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.32% | Fair line: 4.11
๐Ÿ”ด Udinese – Winning probability: 29.09% | Fair line: 3.44
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Parma
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Parma x Udinese is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1180955 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Parma x Udinese

Is it a good idea to bet on Parma?

๐Ÿ”ต Parma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.34. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $629.80
  • And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$99.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $564.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$196.00.

Should you bet on Udinese?

๐Ÿ”ด Udinese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $565.50
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$144.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Parma x Udinese

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Parma
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Parma x Udinese

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Parma, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Parma.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Parma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Parma x Udinese

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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