Pisa x AC Milan Betting tips for February 13 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Pisa x AC Milan, Friday, 13/2/2026

📅 13/2/2026 19:45

Pisa 5.90

X 4.00

AC Milan 1.53

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Pisa x AC Milan:

🔮 Pisa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Pisa, you can win up to $2950.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Pisa x AC Milan:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Pisa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Milan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $155.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, AC Milan scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Pisa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, AC Milan has not lost any of them.

🤖 ChatGPT’s take on our prediction for Pisa vs AC Milan:

⚽ The match between Pisa and AC Milan at Arena Garibaldi promises to be quite a challenge! Pisa, playing at home, has shown significant offensive difficulty with an average of 0 goals per game at home in recent matches, suffering a lot (2 goals per game). Additionally, the team hasnt won any of the last five home games. On the other hand, AC Milan arrives on a 22-match unbeaten streak in Serie A and has a strong away performance (3 wins in the last 5 away games), scoring an average of 2 goals per match away from San Siro.

📈 In the league table, Milan is comfortably among the top four fighting for a Champions League spot, while Pisa struggles to establish itself. This gives Milan extra motivation to keep their good form and secure important points against a weaker opponent.

📰 News reports indicate Pisa recently changed their coach to Hiljemark, who plans to adopt a more offensive system (3-4-2-1), but still faces disciplinary issues with suspensions of key players. Meanwhile, AC Milan deals with some absences in the starting lineup due to injuries, but maintains high confidence thanks to team stability and positive statements from key players like Nkunku and Rabiot.

Analyzing the median odds offered by bookmakers: Pisa to win at 5.83 (final 7), draw at 4 (final tie), and Milan to win at 1.53 (final close: 1.5). Converting these odds into normalized implied probabilities, we get approximately: Pisa ~14%, Draw ~25%, Milan ~61%. Considering Pisas weak defensive stats at home against Milans efficient away attack, this distribution makes sense.

However, our fair calculation adjusted by qualitative analysis suggests that Milans actual chances of victory could be even higher (~65%), while the chances of a draw decrease (~20%) due to the clear technical superiority of the visitors; the fair chance of Pisas victory is quite low (~15%).

Evaluating expected value in the final odds:

• Pisa: Negative EV – not worth betting
• Draw: Negative EV – not worth betting
• Milan: Positive EV above +10% – recommended bet!

Final analysis: I fully agree with the Bets Kenya models suggestion that indicates value in AC Milans victory 🏆! The visiting team is much superior technically and psychologically at this point in the season; even playing away, they are likely to maintain their recent unbeaten streak against a team limited offensively like Pisa.

Betting on the Rossoneris win offers good expected return considering the current odds.

Shall we take advantage of this opportunity? 💰🔥

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Analysis from Pisa x AC Milan for the Italy Serie A – 13 of February

The latest news about Pisa x AC Milan

Pisa: Pisa has appointed Swedish coach Hiljemark as their new manager, under whom the team will adopt a more offensive 3‑4‑2‑1 system, and they are preparing for a high-level Serie A clash against Milan on Friday, February 13, 2026, at 8:45 PM; the club also faces disciplinary issues with midfielder Marin serving a suspension after being listed among the recent diffidati.

AC Milan: AC Milan enters the next Serie A round on February 13 focused on maintaining their historic unbeaten streak – the club has gone 22 league games without defeat, the longest streak since the 1992‑93 season, remaining unbeaten in their first 12 away games of the 2025‑26 season, comfortably among the top four in the league and aiming for a Champions League spot; coach Stefano Allegri will have to deal with ongoing absences of Saëlemaekers, Christian Pulisic, and the still-injured Brahim Giménez, while striker Christopher Nkunku reiterated in a recent interview that “he never thought of leaving” and is focused on helping Milan secure a top-four finish, and midfielder Adrien Rabiot emphasized the importance of keeping the title race alive as the Rossoneri seek to extend their 14 wins and 8 draws this season.

Italy Serie A table analysis for Pisa x AC Milan

Pisa: Pisa is in 19th place with 15 points, tied with Verona at the bottom of the table and in the relegation zone. With few mathematical chances to escape relegation at this stage of the season, this match is crucial to try to earn points and seek the last opportunities for recovery. Every point is precious to try to avoid relegation, making this game extremely important for the team.

AC Milan: AC Milan is in 2nd place with 50 points, fighting hard for a spot in the Champions League. A win against Pisa could solidify their position among the top and increase pressure on the leader Inter Milan. Although in a comfortable situation compared to Pisa, the game is important to maintain momentum and secure direct qualification for international competitions next season.

Summary: The game is very important for both teams, but for different reasons: while Pisa fights to avoid relegation, AC Milan seeks to secure qualification for the Champions League. A match full of motivation for both sides! ⚽🔥

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Pisa x AC Milan

It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Pisa x AC Milan.

Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Pisa x AC Milan

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pisa x AC Milan right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1479066 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it worth betting on Pisa?

🔵 Pisa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $1323.00;
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$593.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 170 times – profiting $510.00;
• And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$320.00.

Is betting on AC Milan worth it?

🔴 AC Milan: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $296.80
• And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$143.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Pisa x AC Milan

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Pisa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pisa x AC Milan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Pisa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Pisa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Pisa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pisa x AC Milan

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Pisa x AC Milan