Pisa x Como Betting tips for January 6 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Pisa x Como, Tuesday, 6/1/2026

📅 6/1/2026 14:00

Pisa 4.60

X 3.50

Como 1.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Pisa x Como:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Pisa x Como

Some important points for the tip for Pisa x Como:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Pisa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Como in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-95.0.
👉 Pisa did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Como, Pisa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Pisa matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Pisa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Pisa conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Como.
👉 Pisa has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Como playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Pisa as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

🤖 What does ChatGPT think about our prediction for Pisa vs Como?

Lets analyze the match between Pisa and Como at Arena Garibaldi, which is Pisas usual stadium, ensuring the home advantage for them. 📍

📈 Pisa is in a tricky position in the table, holding 19th place with only 12 points from 18 games and a negative goal difference of -12. This shows a team struggling to stay out of the relegation zone and urgently needs points to improve their situation. Como appears more solid defensively, conceding few goals (only 12 so far) and coming off a recent victory against Udinese.

Looking at recent stats: Pisa has a low average of goals scored at home (0 per game) and concedes more goals than they score (1 per game), plus they have less ball possession (45%) compared to the opponent. Como shows better numbers away from home, with a higher average in accurate shots (4 vs 2 for Pisa) and greater ball possession (58%). Additionally, the visiting team has a well-defined tactical scheme under experienced management.

Median odds indicate a clear favoritism for Como with odds close to 1.75 for their win, while Pisas win is priced above 4.6 – reflecting low confidence in the home team.

Normalizing the implied probabilities from median odds gives us approximately:

• Pisa win: ~20%
• Draw: ~29%
• Como win: ~51%

Given the recent unfavorable offensive and defensive stats for Pisa, combined with Comos strength away from home, this distribution makes sense.

Considering fair odds based on the data, betting on Como might be safer; however, the final odds are slightly below the fair forecast from the Bets Kenya model for the visitor — indicating a lower expected value for this specific bet.

However, looking at bets with a positive expected value according to our calculation:

• Betting on Pisas victory has a positive EV (~6.7%), even though its unlikely — this might indicate a high odds value given some residual chance due to their desperate need to score;
• Betting on a draw or Comos win does not offer significant expected value;

Final suggestion: Despite Pisas recent home struggles, their desperation for points might lead them to pursue aggressive results in this direct confrontation against a strong but not invincible opponent like Como. Therefore, consider a moderate bet on the underdog Pisa to win, taking advantage of the high odds — but always aware of the risks involved! ⚠️

📰 Important news reinforce this view: Coach Marco Gilardino is trying to tactically adjust his team after recent losses; Como faces key absences such as Diego Carlos suspended and doubts about Morata — which could impact their solid defensive performance so far.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Pisa x Como?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2026. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Pisa x Como for the Italy Serie A – 6 of January

Latest news on Pisa x Como

Pisa: Pisa has had mixed results recently, notably a 0-2 home defeat to Juventus on December 27, 2025, with goals from Kalulu and Yildiz for the champions, along with an upcoming Serie A match against Genoa scheduled for January 3, 2026. The club has announced a 3-5-2 tactical formation under coach Marco Gilardino; the team, still fighting at the lower end of the table, aims to stabilize its form after a series of disappointing results and hopes to secure crucial points in the new year.

Como: Como, managed by Cesc Fàbregas, achieved a 1-0 home victory over Udinese on January 3, 2026, thanks to a penalty converted by Da Cunha. The team played in a 4-2-3-1 formation (Butez; Van der Brempt, Kempf, Ramon, Moreno; Perrone, Da Cunha; Vojvoda, Caqueret, Rodríguez; Douvikas) and demonstrated defensive solidity, having conceded only 12 goals so far. The squad faces some absences: goalkeeper Goldaniga and forward Morata are “being evaluated,” midfielder Diao is expected to return by round 23, and defender Diego Carlos is serving a suspension ending in round 19. Additionally, young midfielder Lennon Miller, born in 2006 and part of Como’s youth system, was introduced during the match against Udinese, and the club saw the permanent departure of a 33-year-old offensive midfielder who transferred to Südtirol in Serie B.

Table analysis for the match between Pisa x Como

Pisa: Pisa is in 19th place in the table, with 12 points, and is in the relegation zone. With only 12 points and many rounds still ahead in this championship, the team is fighting to get out of the dangerous zone and avoid relegation. This match is extremely important for Pisa, as a victory could be crucial to start climbing the table and gaining momentum in the tough mission to stay in Serie A.

Como: Como is occupying 6th place, with 30 points, and is fighting for a spot in a European competition (Conference League Qualification). For Como, the game is also important, as a win could secure a better position and keep the team firmly in the race for these international spots. Although they are in a comfortable situation compared to Pisa, the direct confrontation is a chance to consolidate their position and earn important points.

Summary: This game is very important for both teams: for Pisa, its a chance to escape relegation; for Como, to maintain the fight for European competition qualification spots. Therefore, we expect a decisive match for both teams ambitions! ⚽🔥

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pisa x Como

When the best bet on Pisa x Como is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1459376 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is it a good idea to bet on Pisa?

🔵 Pisa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $576.00;
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$264.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $600.00;
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Should you bet on Como?

🔴 Como: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
• And would lose other 400 times – having a loss of -$400.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$50.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Pisa x Como

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Pisa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pisa x Como

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Pisa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Pisa.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pisa x Como

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.