Roma x Juventus Betting tips for April 6 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Roma x Juventus, Sunday, 6/4/2025

📅 6/4/2025 18:45

Roma 2.35

X 3.25

Juventus 3.01

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Roma x Juventus:

🔮 Roma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Roma, you can win up to $1175.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Roma x Juventus: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $376.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Juventus in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-114.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Roma scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Juventus, Roma scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Roma is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Roma x Juventus for the Italy Serie A – 6 of April

When the best bet on Roma x Juventus is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1297032 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Roma x Juventus

Is it worth betting on Roma?

🔵 Roma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 550 times – profiting $742.50;
• And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$292.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $405.00;
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$415.00.

Is betting on Juventus worth it?

🔴 Juventus: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $542.70;
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$187.30.

Handicaps analysis for the match Roma x Juventus

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Roma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Roma x Juventus

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Roma, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Roma.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -1.00, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Roma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Roma x Juventus

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.