Roma x Lazio Betting tips for January 5 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Roma x Lazio, Sunday, 5/1/2025

📅 5/1/2025 19:45

Roma 2.50

X 3.23

Lazio 2.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Roma x Lazio:

🔮 Roma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Roma, you can win up to $1250.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Roma x Lazio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $90.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $610.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Roma scored at least 3 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Lazio scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Roma matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Roma is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Lazio is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Analysis from Roma x Lazio for the Italy Serie A – 5 of January

When the best bet on Roma x Lazio is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1242039 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Roma x Lazio

Is it worth betting on Roma?

🔵 Roma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 500 times – profiting $750.00;
• And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$250.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.23. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $602.10;
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$127.90.

Is it worth betting on Lazio?

🔴 Lazio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $396.00;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$384.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Roma x Lazio

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Roma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Roma x Lazio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Roma, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Roma.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Roma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Roma x Lazio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.