Roma x Lecce Betting tips for December 7 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Roma x Lecce, Saturday, 7/12/2024

📅 7/12/2024 19:45

Roma 1.53

X 4.10

Lecce 5.92

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Roma x Lecce:

🔮 Roma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Roma, you can win up to $765.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Roma x Lecce: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-172.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lecce in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Lecce, Roma scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Lecce matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Roma x Lecce, with Roma as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Roma conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Lecce. 👉 Roma has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Lecce.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Roma x Lecce?

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Analysis from Roma x Lecce for the Italy Serie A – 7 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Roma x Lecce right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1233239 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Roma x Lecce

Is it worth betting on Roma?

🔵 Roma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 810 times – this would give you a profit of $429.30
• And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$239.30.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $403.00;
• And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$467.00.

Should you bet on Lecce?

🔴 Lecce: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $295.20
• And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$644.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Roma x Lecce

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Roma
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Roma x Lecce

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Roma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Roma.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Lecce.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Roma x Lecce

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.