Roma x Parma Betting tips for December 22 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Roma x Parma, Sunday, 22/12/2024

📅 22/12/2024 11:30

Roma 1.58

X 4.14

Parma 5.06

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Roma x Parma:

🔮 Roma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Roma, you can win up to $790.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Roma x Parma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Roma scored at least 3 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Parma scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Parma, Roma scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Roma matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Parma matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Roma x Parma, with Roma as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Parma conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Roma is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Roma has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Parma playing at home.

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Analysis from Roma x Parma for the Italy Serie A – 22 of December

When the best bet on Roma x Parma is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1239261 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Roma x Parma

Is betting on Roma worth it?

🔵 Roma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 74.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 750 times – this would give you a profit of $435.00
• And would lose other 250 times – having a loss of -$250.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$185.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $533.80;
• And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$296.20.

Is it worth betting on Parma?

🔴 Parma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.06. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $365.40;
• And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$544.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Roma x Parma

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Roma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Roma x Parma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Roma, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Roma. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Roma x Parma

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.