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Home ยป Predictions ยป Italy Serie A ยป Salernitana x Lazio Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Serie A
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Italy Serie A
Salernitana Salernitana
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 56% 1 X 2
Lazio Lazio
ODD: @3.6 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Salernitana x Lazio Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Salernitana x Lazio, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
14:00
Salernitana Salernitana
4.10
X
3.60
Lazio Lazio
1.88

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Salernitana x Lazio:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1800.00!

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The main points for the tip for Salernitana x Lazio:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Salernitana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-330.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $5.0.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Salernitana x Lazio

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Summary

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Analysis from Salernitana x Lazio for the Italy Serie A – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Salernitana X Lazio – Italy Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 14:00
๐Ÿ”ต Salernitana – Winning probability: 4.99% | Fair line: 20.05
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 38.95% | Fair line: 2.57
๐Ÿ”ด Lazio – Winning probability: 56.07% | Fair line: 1.78
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Salernitana
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Salernitana and Lazio.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Salernitana x Lazio

Is betting on Salernitana worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Salernitana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $155.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$795.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $1014.00
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$404.00.

Is betting on Lazio worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Lazio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $492.80;
  • And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$52.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Salernitana x Lazio

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Salernitana
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Salernitana x Lazio

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Salernitana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Salernitana.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Lazio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Salernitana x Lazio

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves