Sassuolo x Juventus Betting tips for January 6 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Sassuolo x Juventus, Tuesday, 6/1/2026

📅 6/1/2026 19:45

Sassuolo 4.60

X 3.63

Juventus 1.72

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sassuolo x Juventus:

🔮 Juventus wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Juventus, you can win up to $860.00!

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The main points for the tip for Sassuolo x Juventus:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sassuolo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Juventus in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $93.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Juventus scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Juventus, Sassuolo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Sassuolo conceded at least 1 goal(s).

🤖 ChatGPT analysis on the prediction for Sassuolo vs Juventus:

Lets analyze the match between Sassuolo and Juventus at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, which is Sassuolos usual stadium, giving them the home advantage. ⚽

📊 Recent statistics show that Sassuolo has a balanced home performance, averaging 1 goal scored and 1 conceded per game, with a slightly higher ball possession (54%). Juventus, on the other hand, has more offensive numbers away: an average of 2 goals scored and only 1 conceded per match, with more effective shots (6 on target vs. 4 for Sassuolo). This indicates a strong offensive visiting team.

📰 Recent news reports indicate Sassuolo drew their last home game against Parma 1-1. Juventus also comes from a draw in Serie A and faces issues such as key injuries (Vlahović) and a dip in performance from some key players. Despite this, they aim for their fourth consecutive win to maintain a good streak in the competition.

📈 In the league table (despite limited info), we know Juventus is traditionally better positioned than Sassuolo and faces greater pressure to win important matches like this to maintain or improve their standing. Sassuolo tends to play more defensively, looking to capitalize on opportunities at their stadium.

Analyzing the median odds given by bookmakers: Sassuolo victory is around 4.5-4.75; draw about 3.5-3.63; Juventus win between 1.72-1.75.

Calculating the normalized implied probabilities:

• Sassuolo: ~22%
• Draw: ~28%
• Juventus: ~50%

Based on Juventuss superior offensive stats away and recent issues with both teams, there is a clear favoritism towards the visiting team.

Analysis of fair odds considering context:

• The fair odds for Juventus to win should be close to the current (~1.7), as their real chances are high given their offensive strength despite some absences;
• The fair odds for a draw might be underestimated (~3.8), since both teams have shown reasonable defensive capacity;
• The fair odds for Sassuolo to win should be higher (>5) due to their recent low offensive power compared to the strong defense of the opponent;

Calculated expected value:

• Sassuolo: negative (-47%), no value to bet;
• Draw: negative (-23%), no value to bet;
• Juventus: positive (+17%), recommended bet!

Therefore, I fully agree with the Bets Kenya model in indicating value in betting on Juventus to win! 🏆 They are clear favorites even playing away thanks to their efficient attack and urgent need for points despite absences.

Final tip: Bet on Juventus to win, as it offers good expected value combined with solid defensive and offensive stats against the direct opponent playing at their usual stadium.
Good luck! 🍀⚽

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Analysis from Sassuolo x Juventus for the Italy Serie A – 6 of January

Latest news on the match between Sassuolo and Juventus

Sassuolo: Sassuolo drew 1-1 with Parma on January 3, 2026, at Mapei Stadium, with Kristian Thorstvedt opening the scoring before Pellegrino of Parma equalized, and Nemanja Matić receiving a yellow card; the team fielded Muric in goal, a defense with Walukiewicz, Idzes, Muharemović, and Doig, a midfield trio of Thorstvedt, Matić, and Lipani, and an attacking line of Fadera, Pinamonti, and Armand Laurienté.

Juventus: Juventus started the new year with a 1-1 draw in Serie A against Lecce, where Weston McKennie equalized after Bandas goal, while the team continued dealing with Dusan Vlahovićs injury and the decline in performance of David Ospina and Andrea Openda, which coach Luciano Spalletti described as a “crisis” with few options; despite difficulties, the club announced Marco Ottolini as the new sporting director, celebrated Gleison Bremers 100th match, marked Joao Mários birthday, and indicated a possible return of Federico Chiesa, all while negotiating the renewal of midfielder Yusuf Yıldız and aiming for the fourth consecutive victory in the league, with important matches ahead, such as the Serie A clash against Napoli.

Italy Serie A table analysis for Sassuolo x Juventus

Sassuolo: Sassuolo is in 10th place with 23 points, comfortably positioned in the table, far from the fight for European competitions and the relegation zone. Therefore, the match against Juventus is not decisive for their ambitions this season, and can be seen more as an opportunity to gain experience and improve performance, without direct pressure on the standings.

Juventus: Juventus is in 4th place with 33 points, directly competing for a spot in the next Champions League. Every point is crucial to maintain this position and try to catch the top rivals. The game against Sassuolo is important to secure this position and prevent the teams just behind from closing the gap, as well as to keep pressure at the top of the table.

Summary: This match is quite important for Juventus, which is fighting for a Champions League spot, while for Sassuolo the game has less direct impact on the standings. In other words, a game of high relevance for one of the sides.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sassuolo x Juventus

When the best bet on Sassuolo x Juventus is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1459376 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it worth betting on Sassuolo?

🔵 Sassuolo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – profiting $612.00;
• And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$218.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.63. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – profiting $552.30;
• And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$237.70.

Should you bet on Juventus?

🔴 Juventus: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 620 times – this would give you a profit of $446.40
• And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$66.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sassuolo x Juventus

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sassuolo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sassuolo x Juventus

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Sassuolo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Sassuolo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Sassuolo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sassuolo x Juventus

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.