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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Torino x AC Milan Betting tips for December 8 in Italy Serie A
Monday, 08 December 2025, 19h45 Italy Serie A
Torino Torino
PREDICTION No tip
AC Milan AC Milan
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Torino x AC Milan Betting tips for December 8 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Torino x AC Milan, Monday, 8/12/2025
📅 8/12/2025
19:45
Torino Torino
4.50
X
3.46
AC Milan AC Milan
1.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Torino x AC Milan:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Torino x AC Milan

Some important points for the tip for Torino x AC Milan:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Torino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $433.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Milan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Torino scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against AC Milan, Torino scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Torino matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Torino x AC Milan, with Torino as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Torino conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Torino conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against AC Milan.
👉 Torino has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against AC Milan playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Torino x AC Milan for the Italy Serie A – 8 of December

🏟️ Torino X AC Milan – Italy Serie A
📅 8 of December, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 Torino – Winning probability: 19.46% | Fair line: 5.14
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.80% | Fair line: 4.39
🔴 AC Milan – Winning probability: 57.74% | Fair line: 1.73
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Torino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Torino and AC Milan.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1449456 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Latest news on Torino x AC Milan

Torino: Torino, led by Marco Baroni, is trying to recover after a recent streak of four winless matches, which ended with a defeat to Como, currently with 14 points in Serie A; the team has won five of its last ten games and will face Lecce at Via del Mare on November 30 before facing Milan on December 6, with Baroni likely maintaining a back three; striker Giovanni Simeone has been declared fit and should be available for the match against Milan, while defender Ismail Ismajli is undergoing an athletic test to assess his recovery from recent muscular issues, and midfielder Ilic may also be reintegrated, as Torino seeks to improve its results and climb the table.

AC Milan: AC Milan was eliminated from the Coppa Italia after a 1-0 defeat to Lazio in the round of 16, ending their hopes of a good cup run; meanwhile, coach Massimiliano Allegri is reshaping the attack by moving Rafael Leão from the left wing to the center forward, a change that has already resulted in several goals, while Christian Pulisic is close to returning after a thigh injury and may be available for the next match, Gonzalo Giménez remains sidelined and is expected to leave the club in the January transfer window, and the defensive line continues to rely on the partnership of Strahinja Pavlović, Fikayo Tomori, and Matteo Gabbia, with the defensive unit still praised for its aerial ability and effort on the field.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Torino x AC Milan

Is betting on Torino worth it?

🔵 Torino: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $665.00;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$145.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $565.80;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$204.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on AC Milan?

🔴 AC Milan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $464.00
  • And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$44.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Torino x AC Milan

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Torino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Torino x AC Milan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Torino and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Torino.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Torino x AC Milan

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves