Torino x Bologna Betting tips for February 15 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Torino x Bologna, Sunday, 15/2/2026

📅 15/2/2026 17:00

Torino 3.12

X 3.20

Bologna 2.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Torino x Bologna:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Torino x Bologna

Some important points for the tip for Torino x Bologna:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Torino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-94.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-147.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Bologna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Torino x Bologna, with Torino as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Bologna matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

🤖 ChatGPT analysis on the prediction for Torino vs Bologna:

Lets analyze the match between Torino and Bologna in Serie A, which will take place at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, a traditional stadium of Torino, giving the home team an advantage in terms of home ground.

📊 Recent statistics show that Torino has a modest home performance: scored 4 goals and conceded 6 in the last 5 games at their stadium, with only 2 wins and 3 losses. Bologna, on the other hand, has more offensive numbers away from home, averaging 2 goals per game in recent away matches (10 goals in 5 games), but also concedes quite a few (9 goals). The defensive balance is fragile for both sides.

⚽ The median odds indicate favoritism for Bologna (2.25) against a high odd for Torinos victory (3.1) and a balanced draw (3.2). Converting the median odds into implied probabilities gives approximately: Torino win ~31%, draw ~31%, Bologna win ~44%. This reflects Bolognas stronger recent offensive performance but also Torinos natural home advantage.

🧠 Considering recent news: Torino will have important reinforcements like Vlasic and Prati returning after suspension, but suffers from defensive absences such as Rafael Obrador injured; this could impact their defensive solidity. Bologna comes from elimination in the Coppa Italia and a recent defeat in Serie A, possibly under pressure to improve results; Castros contract renewal brings extra motivation to the visiting team.

📈 In the league table, both teams are close in fighting for important points — increasing the need for victory, especially for Bologna seeking recovery after recent negative results. This pressure could lead to an open game with chances for both teams to score.

Analyzing all this along with the final odds from the bookmakers (Torino @3.3 / Draw @3.25 / Bologna @2.25) versus our fair probability calculation (~31%/31%/44%), we see that the market odds reflect this balanced but slightly favorable dynamic to the visitor due to recent higher offensive efficiency.

The Bets Kenya model suggests negative bets on expected value (-7% home EV; -10% draw EV; -0.18% away EV), indicating no clear value bet according to it — I partially agree because there isnt much positive margin in the current odds considering the risks involved with Torinos defensive absences and pressure on Bologna.

Suggestion: Avoid direct bets at this moment or consider alternative bets such as both teams to score or over goals, given the offensive potential of both sides and defensive fragility shown in recent statistics.

🔥 In summary: An open game in a historic stadium where home advantage slightly favors Torino despite defensive issues; motivated visitors seeking recovery might exploit these weaknesses — so be cautious with simple bets! ⚽

📰 News:
Torino has important reinforcements like Vlasic and Prati returning but loses Obrador injured.
Bologna was recently eliminated from the Coppa Italia on penalties after a tough draw against Lazio.
Pressure for recovery after a recent league defeat influences the visitors mentally.
These factors reinforce my view of tactical balance but mutual defensive vulnerability in this match!

📈 Table:
Both teams fight for crucial points in a decisive phase of the Italian season.
This need increases the intensity of the contest, making an open confrontation where mistakes can be decisive more likely!

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Analysis from Torino x Bologna for the Italy Serie A – 15 of February

Latest news on the match between Torino and Bologna

Torino: Torino, coached by Baroni, is preparing for the upcoming Serie A match against Bologna with a likely 3-5-2 formation; the squad list mentions the return of Vlasic and Prati after suspension, while Heggem and De Silvestri await physical assessments. The defensive line is expected to include Zortea as a possible replacement for Miranda, but Rafael Obrador will be unavailable after being diagnosed with a partial injury to the right calf muscle, making him unavailable for Baronis team.

Bologna: Bolognas week was mixed: on February 11, 2026, the club was eliminated from the Coppa Italia after a 1-1 draw against Lazio, decided on penalties, despite an early goal by Santiago Castro and a late equalizer by Noslin, with Lazio missing two penalties. The team, coached by Thiago Italiano, started in a 4-2-3-1 (Skorupski; Zortea, Vitik, Lucumì, Miranda; Moro, Ferguson; Orsolini, Odgaard, Cambiaghi; Castro). Two days earlier, Bologna lost at home to Parma 0-1 in Serie A. In club news, Castro renewed his contract until 2030, and Bologna is preparing for the next league match against Torino on February 15, with an expected 4-3-4 formation and several regular starters.

Table analysis for the match between Torino and Bologna

Torino: The match against Bologna is quite important for Torino, which is in 13th place with 27 points and relatively close to the relegation zone (18th place with 18 points). Every point counts to escape the dangerous part of the table and secure Serie A permanence. A good result can bring more peace of mind and distance from the lower part.

Bologna: For Bologna, currently in 10th place with 30 points, the game also carries significant weight. Although more comfortable than Torino, the team is not yet qualified for international competitions and needs good results to seek a better position on the table and perhaps try for a European spot. The direct confrontation with a mid-table opponent is a chance to get closer to the top teams.

Summary: This is an important game for both teams, as Torino fights to move away from the relegation zone and Bologna seeks to improve its position and dream of an international spot. A match with impact on the table and team confidence! ⚽🔥

How the handicap and odds moved for Torino x Bologna

It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Torino x Bologna.

Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Torino x Bologna

When the best bet on Torino x Bologna is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1479336 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is it worth betting on Torino?

🔵 Torino: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $593.60;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$126.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $616.00
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$104.00.

Is it worth betting on Bologna?

🔴 Bologna: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $550.00;
• And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$10.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Torino x Bologna

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Torino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Torino x Bologna

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Torino and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Torino.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Torino x Bologna

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Torino x Bologna