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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Torino x Como Betting tips for October 25 in Italy Serie A
Friday, 25 October 2024, 18h45 Italy Serie A
Torino Torino
PREDICTION Torino wins Probability 46% 1 X 2
Como Como
ODD: @2.09 Don't miss this prediction!

Torino x Como Betting tips for October 25 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Torino x Como, Friday, 25/10/2024
📅 25/10/2024
18:45
Torino Torino
2.09
X
3.45
Como Como
3.45

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Torino x Como:

🔮 Torino wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Torino, you can win up to $1045.00!

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The main points for the tip for Torino x Como:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Torino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-13.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Como in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $125.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Como conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Torino x Como for the Italy Serie A – 25 of October

🏟️ Torino X Como – Italy Serie A
📅 25 of October, 2024 – 18:45
🔵 Torino – Winning probability: 46.69% | Fair line: 2.14
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.07% | Fair line: 3.99
🔴 Como – Winning probability: 28.24% | Fair line: 3.54
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Torino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Torino x Como right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1207819 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Torino x Como

Should you bet on Torino?

🔵 Torino: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.09. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $512.30
  • And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$17.70.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $612.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$137.50.

Should you bet on Como?

🔴 Como: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $686.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$34.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Torino x Como

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Torino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Torino x Como

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Torino and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Torino.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Como.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Torino x Como

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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